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Here, at your fingertips, are more than 35 years’ worth of issues and articles. Search by date, company or keyword.

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Company
All Companies 3Com Corp. 3M Co Aaron’s Inc. Abertis Infraestructuras Abitibi Consolidated Inc. Absolute Invest Ltd. Absolute Private Equity Accelerate Diagnostics Access Flex Bear High Yield fund Accuride Corporation Ackerman & van Haaren Actavis plc. Adams Natural Resources Fund Inc. Adecoagro S.A. Advanced Micro Devices AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF AerCap Holdings NV AES Corp. Aetna Africa Opportunity Fund Agco Corp. AGNC Investment Corp. Agnico-Eagle Mines Aioi Insurance Airborne Freight Corp. AK Steel Holding Corp Akamai Technologies Akenerji Elektrik Uretim A.S. Alaska Milk Alcoa Alexander & Baldwin Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Allergan Inc. Alliance Holdings GP Alliance Resource Partners LP AllianceBernstein Income Fund Allied Capital Corp. Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. Alon USA Altice N.V. Altria Group Amazon.com Ambac American Banknote Holographics American Electric Power American Greetings Corp. American International Group Ameriprise Financial Ameritrade Holding Corp. AMR Corp. Amrep Corp. AMVIG Holdings Anglo American Plc. Anglogold Anheuser-Busch InBev S.A./N.V. Annaly Capital Management Antero Midstream Partners L.P. Anthracite Capital Antofagasta Holdings AP Alternative Assets LP Apex Mortgage Capital Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc Apollo Global Management Apple Aradigm Corp. ArcelorMittal Arch Capital Group Arch Coal Ares Capital Corp. Arkema Arrow Global Group plc. Ascena Retail Group Ashtead Group plc Asia Pulp & Paper Co. Asset Acceptance Capital Corp. AT&T Inc. athenahealth Atlas Mara Co-Nvest Ltd. ATP Oil & Gas Corp. Atwood Oceanics Aurora Investment Trust plc Australia & New Zealand Banking Group AutoZone Avance Gas Holding Avianca Holdings SA Avid Technology Inc. Avon Products Axis Capital Holdings B3 S.A. - Brasil Bolsa Balcao Babcock & Wilcox Co. Badger Meter, Inc. Ball Corp. Banca Carige S.p.A Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA Banco Bradesco S.A. Banco de Chile Bancolombia SA Bank of America Bank of Greece Bank of New York Mellon Bank of Nova Scotia Bank of Queensland Banque Nationale de Belgique Barclays PLC Barrick Gold BASF SE Bayerische Motoren Werke AG BB&T Corp. Bear Stearns Beazer Becton Dickinson and Co. Beijing Capital International Airport Berkshire Hathaway Inc-Cl A Berry Global Group, Inc. Best Buy BHP Billiton BHP Billiton Ltd. Bitcoin Investment Trust BJ’s Wholesale Club BlackRock BlackRock California Municipal Income Trust BlackRock MuniHoldings New York Quality Fund BlackRock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Blackrock MuniYield New York Quality Fund BlackRock MuniYield Pennsylvania Quality Fund Blackrock MuniYield Quailty Fund BlackRock Taxable Municipal Bond Trust Blackstone Group L.P. Blackstone Mortgage Trust Blackstone/GSO Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Blackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund Bladex S.A. Blount International Inc. Blue Sky Alternative Investments Ltd. BNP Paribas Boardwalk Pipeline Partners Boeing BOK Financial Boulder Brands British American Tobacco Plc. Brookfield Property Partners, LP Bunge Ltd. Burger King Worldwide BW LPG C&J Energy Services Inc. C.B. Richard Ellis Cabot Oil & Gas Cairn Energy Cairn India Ltd. Calamos Convertible Fund Calavo Growers Calpine Corp. Cameco Cameco Corporation Campbell Soup Co. Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Canadian National Railway Co. Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. Capital & Counties Properties plc Capital One Financial Corp. Capstead Mortgage Corp. Carlyle Group CarMax Inc. Carnival Cruise Lines Carrefour S.A. Carter’s Inc. Casino Guichard Perrachon SA Castle Private Equity AG Catalyst Biosciences, Inc. Caterpillar CBL & Associates Properties CBRL Group Celgene Corp. Central Securities Corp. Ceradyne Charles Schwab Charter Communications Chevron Corp. Chimera Investment China Cinda Asset Management Co. China Coal Energy Co. China Construction Bank China International Travel Service Corp Ltd China National Chemical Corp. China Shenhua Mining China Vanke Christopher & Banks Corp. Chuck E. Cheese Brands Inc. CIT Group Citigroup Clean Energy Fuels Corp. Clean Harbors, Inc. Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. CME Group CNA Financial Corp. CNH Global N.V. CNX Gas CNX Resources Corp. Coca-Cola Co. Coeur d’Alene Mines Corp. Comerica Commercial Metals Co. Commonwealth Bank of Australia Companhia Vale do Rio Doce CompuCredit Holdings Corp. Comverse Technology Con-way ConAgra Foods Concentradora Fibra Danhos SA de CV Concentradora Fibra Hotelera Mexicana SA de CV Conn’s Inc. CONSOL Energy Consolidated-Tomoka Land Co. Constellation Software Inc. Contura Energy Inc. Conversus Capital Copart, Inc. Copperbelt Energy Corp plc Coronado Biosciences Corporate Travel Management Ltd. Costco Wholesale Countrywide Credit Industries Cousins Properties Inc. Credicorp Ltd. Credit Suisse Group CreXus Investment Corp. CrossingBridge Low Duration High Yield Fund CSX Corp. Cullen/Frost Bankers Customers Bancorp, Inc. CVS Caremark Daishi Bank Danske Bank A/S De La Rue plc Deere & Co. Delek Logistics Partners L.P. Dell Computer Delta Air Lines Destination Maternity Detour Gold Corp. Deutsche Bank Deutsche High Income Opportunities Fund Deutsche High Income Trust Devon Energy Dex One Corporation Diamant Art Corp. Diamond Foods Inc. Diamond Resorts International DineEquity Dixons Carphone plc Dogan Gazetecilik A.S. Dole Food Dollar General Dollar Tree, Inc. Dorian LPG Ltd. Dorman Products DoubleLine Income Solutions Dow Chemical Downey Financial Corp. Duke Realty Corp. Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. Eagle Point Credit Co. Inc. Eaton Vance Municipal Bond Fund Eaton Vance New York Municipal Bond Fund Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust ECA Marcellus Trust I El Paso Pipeline Partners Electrobras S.A. Eli Lilly & Co. Ellie Mae Inc. Emerald Oil, Inc. Emerson Electric Co. Emmis Communications Corp. Empresa Nacional de Telecomunicaciones SA, ENTEL Enbridge, Inc. Endo International Plc Energias de Portugal SA ENI S.p.A Ensco plc. Enstar Group Ltd. Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EOG Resources Epicor Software Corporation Equitable Group Inc. ETRACS Fisher-Gartman Risk off ETN ETRACS Fisher-Gartman Risk on ETN Euronav NV European Aeronautic Defense and Space Co. Everbridge Inc. Evercore Partners Inc. Evotec S.E. Exide Technologies Exor SpA Expedia ExxonMobil Facebook FactSet Research Systems Fairfax Financial Holdings Fairfax India Holdings Corp. Fairway Group Holdings Fannie Mae Farmer Mac Farmland Partners Inc. Fastenal Co. FedEx Corp. Fiat S.p.A. Fibra Uno Fidelity & Guaranty Life Fidelity National Financial Fifth Street Finance Corp. Fifth Street Senior Floating Rate Corp. Financial Engines First Eagle Gold Fund First Financial Bancorp. FirstFed Financial Corp. Fleetwood Corp. Flowserve Corp. Fondual Proprietatea Ford Forest City Enterprises Forestar Group Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. Fortress Investment Group Fosun International Ltd. Foundation Coal Holdings Franco-Nevada Franklin Resources Fred. Olsen Energy ASA Freddie Mac Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Freescale Semiconductor Fresh Del Monte Produce Fresnillo Frontier Communications Corp. Frontline Ltd. FTSE/Xinhau China 25 Index FXCM Inc. Gannett GATX Corporation Gazprom OAO Genco Shipping & Trading Limited General Cable Corp. General Electric General Motors General Shopping Brasil S.A. Genesee & Wyoming Inc Glencore PLC Global X Uranium ETF Gold Fields Ltd. Gold Reserve Act of 1934 Goldcorp Goldcorp Inc. Goldman Sachs Group Golub Capital Goodrich Petroleum Google Great Northern Iron Ore Properties Greenbrier Companies Greenhill & Co. Greif Inc. GrubHub Inc. Grupo Financiero Galicia Grupo Nutresa SA Gunes Sigorta A.S. H&R Real Estate Investment Trust Haier Co. Ltd. Halcon Resources Hallador Energy Co. Hamilton Lane, Inc. Hancock Holding Co. Hanesbrands Inc. Hang Seng Bank Ltd HarbourVest Harman International Hatteras Financial Corp Heartland BancCorp Heartland Value Fund Hecla Mining Co. HEICO Corp. Helen of Troy Ltd. Hercules Capital Inc. Hewlett-Packard Hochschild Mining Home Capital Group Home Depot HomeAway Honam Petrochemical Horsehead Holding Corp Horsehead Holding Corp., Hospira Howard Hughes Corp. Hudson Pacific Properties Inc. Humana Inc. Hunter Douglas Huntington Bancshares Hyundai Motor Hyundai Motor Co., preferred IBM Icahn Enterprises L.P. ICICI Bank Iconix Brand Group Infosys InRetail Peru Corp. Intelsat SA Intercontinental Exchange Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge ETF International Bancshares Corp. International Paper International Seaways, Inc. Intesa Sanpaolo SpA Inversiones y Representaciones S.A. Invesco Senior Loan ETF Invesco Value Municipal Income Trust Investment Quality Municipal Trust Invitation Homes, Inc. Iron Mountain, Inc. Ironwood Pharmaceuticals iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Fund iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond Fund iShares International Treasury Bond ETF iShares J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF iShares JP Morgan U.S. Dollar Emerging Markets Bond ETF iShares National Muni Bond ETF iShares New York Muni Bond ETF iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF iShares Silver Trust Isis Pharmaceuticals iStar Financial IWG, PLC J.B. Hunt Transport Services J.C. Penney J.G. Wentworth Inc. J.P. Morgan Chase Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC JB Hi-Fi Ltd. Jefferies Group John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. Johnson & Johnson Joy Global JZ Capital Partners Kala Pharmaceuticals Inc. Kansas City Southern KapStone Paper and Packaging Corp. KBR Inc. Kerry Group plc Keryx Biopharmaceuticals Keurig Green Mountain Keycorp Kilroy Realty Corp. Kimberly-Clark Kinder Morgan Energy Partners Kinder Morgan Inc. Kinetic Concepts Kinetsu Corp. Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd. KKR & Co. LP Klondex Mines Knight Capital Group Kohl’s Corp. Kone OYJ Koppers Holdings Korean Preferred Stocks Kraft Heinz Co Kroger Co. Kulicke & Soffa Lancaster Colony Corp. LandAmerica Financial Group Lanxess Lawson Software Lazard Ltd. Legg Mason Value Leggett & Platt Lehman Brothers LendingClub Lennar Corp. Leo Holdings Corp. LifeLock Ligand Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Light S.A. Lincoln National Corp. LinkedIn Corp. Linn Energy Lloyds Banking Group Loews Corp. Loma Negra Companía Industrial Argentina S.A. Lowes Companies Lufkin Industries Lukoil OAO Lumber Liquidators Holdings Luxottica M&T Bank Mack-Cali Realty Corp. Macquarie Group Limited Macy’s Inc. Manitowoc Co. MannKind Corp. Manulife Financial Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF Market Vectors Russia ETF MarketAxess Holdings Inc. Marks & Spencer plc Marmara Capital Equity Fund MasTec Inc. Mastech Holdings Matthews International Corp. MBIA Inc. McDermott International McDonald’s Corp. MCG Capital Corp. Medallion Financial Corp. Medtronic Merrill Lynch Merrimack Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Metal Constructions of Greece (Metka) Methanex Corp MetLife Metropolitan West Low Duration Bond Fund MF Global holdings MFA Financial Inc. MGIC Investment Corporation MGM Energy Michael Kors Holdings Microsoft Microsoft Corp. Midas Gold Corp. Middleby Corp. Millicom International Cellular Minefinders Mitsubishi Corp. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Moderna, Inc. Moelis & Co. Molson Coors Brewing Company Monadelphous Group Mondelez International Inc. Monmouth Real Estate Investment Corporation Monsanto Co. Moody's Corp. Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley China Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Domestic Debt Fund Mosaic Company Moscow Exchange MSC Industrial Direct Co. Muzinich Low Duration Fund MVC Capital Mytilineos Holdings Nanto Bank Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF Index Natco Group National Australia Bank National City Bank National Commercial Bank National Oilwell Varco National Retail Properties Nautical Petroleum plc Nestle SA Netflix Inc. Nevsun Resources New Fortress Energy LLC New Gold Newcrest Mining Ltd. Newfield Exploration Newmont Mining Nielsen Holdings plc Nike Nippon Active Value Fund Nissay Dowa General Insurance Nordea Bank AB Nordic American Tankers Ltd. Nordstrom Norfolk Southern Corp North Atlantic Drilling Ltd. Northern Dynasty Minerals Northern Trust Corp Northgate Minerals NovaGold Resources NOW Inc Nucor Corporation Nuveen Build America Bond Fund Nuveen Build America Bond Opportunity Fund Nuveen Floating Rate Income Fund Nuveen New York AMT-Free Municipal Income Fund Nuveen New York Dividend Advantage Municipal Fund Nuveen North Carolina Quality Municipal Income Fund Nuverra Environmental Solutions Nvidia Corp. NVR Inc. Nyrstar Oasis Petroleum Inc. Occidental Petroleum Corporation Ocean Bio Chem Ocean Rig UDW Oculus Innovative Sciences Okomu Oil Palm Plc Olin Corp. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. On Deck Capital Oneok, Inc. Opko Health Orezone Resources Orient Overseas International Ormat Technologies, Inc. Osisko Mining Owens-Illinois Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Oxford Square Capital Co. Packaging Corp. of America Pactiv Corp. Pan American Silver Par Pacific Holdings Paragon Offshore Paramount Resources Ltd. Parapet 2006 Paris Orleans SA Parkway Inc. Parsley Energy Inc. Partners Group Holding A.G. Party City Holdco Inc. PDL BioPharma Peabody Energy Corp. Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corp. Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust PepsiCo Petroleo Brasileiro SA PG&E Corp. Pharmaceutical Product Development PHH Corp. Phillip Morris Phillips 66 Pico PIMCO Dynamic Credit Income Fund Ping An Bank Co. Ping An Insurance Group Co. Pioneer Natural Resources Co. Plum Creek Timber PNC Financial Services Popular, Inc. Post Holdings Inc. Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Potlatch Corp. Power Finance Corporation PowerShares DB G10 Currency Harvest Fund PowerShares Variable Rate Preferred Portfolio ETF Prada SpA Precision Castparts Corporation Pretium Resources Principal Financial Group Procter & Gamble Progress Energy Resources Progressive Corp. Prologis Inc. Property REIT, Inc. Prosensa Holding ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Treasury Prospect Capital Corp. Prosperity Bancshares Public Storage PutleGroup Qualcomm Inc. Quest Diagnostics Quicksilver Rackspace Hosting Radian Group RadioShack Corp Raiffeisen International Ralcorp Holdings Inc. Range Resources Rayonier Inc. Raytheon Co. Realogy Holdings Corp. Realty Income Corp. Redwood Trust Regions Financial Reis Inc. Reliance Industries Ltd. Repros Therapeutics Republic Services Inc. Research in Motion Resolute Energy Restaurant Brands International Inc. Restoration Hardware Holdings Richemont SA Rio Tinto Ltd. Rite Aid Rosneft OAO Rowan Companies Royal Bank of Scotland RWE AG S.A., Public Power Corp SA des Ciments Vicat Salvatore Ferragamo SpA Samsung Electronics Sangamo BioSciences Santander Consumer USA Sarepta Therapeutics Sberbank Schindler Holding AG Schlumberger Schweitzer-Mauduit International SCOR SE Seacor Holdings Seadrill Ltd. Sears Holdings SemGroup Corp. Service Corp. International Shake Shack Inc. Shaw Group Sherwin-Williams Ship Finance International Ltd. Shizuoka Bank Sichuan Expressway Signature Bank Signet Jewelers Ltd. Sime Darby Simon Property Group Singapore Airlines Sino Gold Mining SL Green Realty Corp Smithfield Foods Snap-on Inc. Societe Generale Societe Internationale de Plantations et de Finance SoftBank Group Corp. Solar Capital Ltd. SolarCity Corp. Sotheby's Southern National Bancorp of Virginia Southwest Airlines Southwestern Energy SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF SPDR Gold Shares Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Inc. Springleaf Holdings Sprint Corp. Sprott Gold Equity Fund Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust Sprouts Farmers Market Square Inc. St. Joe Company STAG Industrial Starwood Property Trust State Street Corp. Steel Dynamics Strongbridge Biopharma plc. Sumitomo Mitusi Financial Suncor Energy Inc. Sunrun Inc. Suntech Power Holding SunTrust Banks SuperMedia Surgutneftegas SVB Financial Group Swiss National Bank Syneron Medical Ltd. Syngenta AG T.Rowe Price Group Tahoe Resources Target Corp. Tata Motors Ltd. TCW Total Return Bond Teck Resources Teekay Tankers, Ltd. Tejon Ranch Company Templeton Emerging markets Income Fund Templeton Global Income Fund Teranga Gold Tesco plc Tesla Motors Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. Texas Capital Bancshares Texas Pacific Land Trust TGR Financial , Inc. The Fresh Market The Intertain Group Ltd. The Williams Companies, Inc. THL Credit TICC Capital Corp. Tidewater Inc. Tiffany & Co. Tile Shop Holdings Time Warner Cable Tocqueville Gold Fund Tower Hill Mines Ltd. TransDigm Group Inc. Transocean Ltd. Transportadora de Gas del Sura SA Treasury Wine Estates Trinity Industries Tupperware Brands Turkish Airlines U.S. Bancorp U.S. Filter Uber Technologies, Inc. UBS UBS AG Ultra Petroleum UltraShort FTSE/ Xinhau China 25 Proshare Under Armour Unifi Union Pacific Corp. United Company Rusal United Continental Holdings United Rentals Inc. United Technologies Unum Group Uranium Participation Corp. Valeant Pharmaceuticals International VanEck Vectors AMT-Free Long Municipal Index ETF Vanguard Value ETF Vapor Corp. Verizon Communications Viking Therapeutics, Inc. Vodafone Group Vornado Realty Trust W.R. Berkley Corp. W.W. Grainger Wal-Mart de Mexico SAB de CV Wal-Mart Stores Walgreen Walt Disney Co. Walter Investment Management Corp Wasatch Small Cap Value Fund Wasatch-Hoisington U.S. Treasury Fund Washington Federal Washington Mutual Inc. Waste Connections Waste Management Weiss Korea Opportunity Fund Wells Fargo & Company Wells Fargo Short-Term Municipal Bond Fund Class A Wendy’s Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund Western Asset Global Corporate Defined Opportunity Fund Western Asset High Yield Defined Opportunity Fund Western Digital Corp. Western Refining Western Union Company Westfield Group Westlake Chemical Corp. Westlake Chemical Partners LP Westpac Banking Corp. Westshore Terminals Weyerhaeuser Corp. Whirlpool Corp White Mountains Insurance Group Whole Foods Market Williams-Sonoma Windstream Holdings WisdomTree Dreyfus Brazilian Real WisdomTree Dreyfus Chinese Yuan WisdomTree Dreyfus Indian Rupee Woodford Patient Capital Trust plc Wright Medical XTO Energy Yahoo! Yamana Gold Yandex NV YPF S.A. Yum! Brands Inc. Zillow, Inc. Zion Oil & Gas Inc. Zoomlion

December 13, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 24

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Exit, a humble giant

Paul A. Volcker, born in 1927, opened his eyes to the world of the gold dollar, fixed exchange rates and a balanced federal budget. He died in an age of the fiat dollar, floating (or manipulated) exchange rates and a trillion-dollar boomtime deficit. Monetary history, seen in a certain way, makes a long, coherent arc.

Year-end review

An annotated list of our 2019 investment ideas, bonds and stocks, currencies, metals, longs and shorts, profitable and otherwise.

Fatal 15-mph crash

The M.O. of your garden variety unicorn is simple.

Old Ma Dividend

Looming large over Main Street and Wall street alike, the old milch cow is riskier than she looks.

Bond math recalculated

Figures quoted from a Bloomberg report in the Nov. 29 issue of Grant’s greatly understate prospective gains.

Inside the yield factory

At worst, they are the devil’s own contraptions. At best, they’re lucrative income machines. Anticipating a brighter 2020 for the rare fixed-income asset that can hurt when interest rates go up or when they go down.

Still not 'cheep'

Grant’s remains bearish on the brick-and-mortar-only discount retailer trading at nearly 33 times trailing earnings.

Disabled vehicles

In the incongruous setting of record-low unemployment, auto finance is cracking.

November 29, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 23

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‘Safety’ in numbers

It’s not the prices, yields, CUSIPs, call dates, ratings, etc. that are in dispute. What fluctuates is the fiscal and monetary narrative around the facts.

Dividends at risk

In the past half-decade, the estimated value of the “most valuable” retail building in the world has plunged by 57%. If it can happen to the Manhattan Taj Mahal of Saks Fifth Avenue, it can happen to other top-flight retail assets including the investments held by a pair of Grant’s picks-not-to-click.

Seaborne leverage

We remain bullish on a pair of known Grant’s favorites and sing the praises of a second pair of companies which, in the ESG world, are only slightly more reputable than cigarette makers and arms dealers.

Going our seperate ways

A downshift in the synchronization of world business activity may hold an unpleasant surprise for the mass of bond bulls.

November 15, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 22

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Monetary New Year's party

“The Fed did not just stabilize the repo market,” a wise woman writes. “Now, it is the repo market.” Potentially very bullish in the short run, potentially very bearish in the long run.

Take my well, please

To many an investor, oil and gas has come to resemble the cigarette business, only without the pricing power. But a particular segment of the energy market looks like nothing so much as value Disneyland

Bank of the Cycle

Grant’s casts a skeptical eye on the superlative record of the institution that stands athwart the with-it world of high-tech venture capital.

Just a stumble

We acknowledge our hapless timing and reiterate our bullish judgment on a hard-pressed pick-to-click.

CLO shutdown?

Are CLOs signaling trouble or are junk bonds flagging opportunity?

Sucker punch

Market sentiment turned on a dime when the Fed committed to buying $60 billion of Treasury bills every month.

November 1, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 21

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Interest rates on wheels

Its business model depended on everything we’ve learned about transportation economics being totally wrong.

Recession, ahoy!

What we’re seeing is something very unusual taking place in the context of what is supposed to be an expanding global economy,” observed David Rosenberg, leadoff speaker at the Fall 2019 Grant’s conference, “and where do you think bond yields are going to go if the stock market crashes?

Progress of the age

Cascading digital progress just may cause inflation "to be structurally lower (and earnings growth and valuations structurally higher) than history may predict."

‘Your biggest mistake’

The greatest correlated belief of institutional and intelligent investors probably in the past 25 years is in the most wonderful asset class ever invented.

Bums’ rush

Low cost is actually a very costly decision, and that passive thing is acting quite aggressively.

Fall and redemption

The strange thing about technology is it is a badge of honor to get completely wiped out as long as you come back.

Progress in reverse

We’re going to inflate – that’s what the history of major economies is.

The great debate

While it can’t be said that the 10th president of the New York Fed and your editor agreed on everything, they did concur that money is not humanity’s best subject.

Large, unbeatable numbers

The cycle’s signature big-spending, go-for-growth business model is a co-product of the cycle’s signature low interest rates, but there are non-monetary limits to profitless revenue expansion.

Community activists

Profitable, sound and well-capitalized are a quartet of Grant’s picks to click, though you wouldn’t know it from the “limited engagement” of the buy side, or what might otherwise be characterized as nobody much caring.

Promiscuity runs rampant

It isn’t every day a CEO pens a 10-page, 4,989-word letter to explain disappointing quarterly results.

October 18, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 20

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Adam Smith in airplane mode

Confusion is the time for the classics, and how much more confused could we be?

By any other name

The Fed’s new “bazooka” comes with a Fed-appended nomenclatural asterisk.

Rx for income

Assuming the removal of existential corporate threats – and there can be no guarantees, of course – the bonds of a certain banged-up drug manufacturer offer the potential for double-digit returns.

Cars in stock

Bearish on the optically cheap shares of a pair of American industrial bellwethers.

Just one catch

Value’s big caveat.

Fighting the tape

The Fed shudders at the prospect of lower grocery prices.

October 4, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 19

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The yield verdict is in

Interest rates did not just fall, the journalistic evidence suggests, the central banks pushed them. Applying heavy leverage to negative-yielding sovereign debt.

Better than bills?

An excellent security in which to bide one’s time and conserve one’s principal.

Wages of sin

Bullish on a pair of pariahs that change hands near eight year lows with dividend yields at record spreads to Treasurys and earnings multiples in the single digits.

Burn notice

Twenty IPOs with a combined market cap of $164.5 billion that fail to generate free cash flow. Counting the fiscal quarters till extinction.

‘Bizzle’ watch

There’s a word for the prosperity of the barnacles that cling to the bottoms of stately venture-capital promotions.

Just in case

On the sources and uses of volatility, a sampling of ideas and value propositions intended to engage amateur and professional alike.

Whipsaw Tuesday

Have you heard this before? The long bull market in bonds just might be nearing its end.

September 20, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 18

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The surprise factor

Conditioned to believe that someone’s in charge, we factored out the unexpected. On the physics of Coors Field.

Fiscal-crisis preview

Too many securities, not enough liquidity.

Renaissance of value?

“Safe and cheap” equities, so long in the shade, may be ready to shine.

AOC, CFA

When she is right, she’s right.

Margins to go

In the dining-out business, a kind of profitless prosperity.

‘Epitome of the cycle’

We remain bearish on the first-ever experiment in late-stage venture capital combined with private equity combined with a transaction tempo resembling that of a fast-paced hedge fund.

Whole lot of nothing

Did the European Central Bank actually cut rates?

September 6, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 17

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Monetary paradigm shift

Insiders shockingly demand top-to-bottom reform. An outsider has a plan.

Different ratings agency

The catalyst is on the table, but tell that to Mr. Market.

Gilt by association

A quartet of stocks of the smallish, illiquid and hairy type. Value is returning to Britai

‘Buy,’ we said

We write to acknowledge an error of judgment, gather appropriate lessons and glare into the future.

Laurels for the long bond

Stocks for the long run? Stocks and bonds has been closer to the mark.

August 9, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 16

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Bonfire of the yields

Yen for yen and euro for euro, no balance sheets make more mischief than the ones deployed by the sponsors of today’s negative nominal yields. What’s safe about a guaranteed loss?

‘Big passion project’

A high-risk, still early-stage arbitrage play between the divergent prices of crude oil and natural gas.

Uneconomic animals

A small bet against the Hong Kong dollar still seems entirely rational.

Incumbency advantage

In the contest between, on the one hand, the merits of free cash flow and, on the other, the prospective fruits of business disruption, the innovators are pledging to build a new industry on the ashes of the old one.

No cheese whiz

A known Grant’s pick-to-not-click previews the problems in relisting pricey leveraged buyouts.

The story of 24 hours

With everything that is going on, the most noteworthy item is what China is not doing.

July 26, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 15

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The best economist on the lowest rates

Harnessing a formidable body of work to solve the mystery of today’s topsy-turvy bond market and to answer the question “have bond prices reached a permanently high plateau?”

Monetary jumping bean

This former Grant’s pick-to-click had 36% sawed off its share price. Seven lean years later, we reaffirm our bullishness.

Raising the roof

“Existing” home sales for May fell by 1%, the 15th consecutive monthly decline, while June housing permits dropped by 7%. Even so, a hopeful look at the housing situation and a bullish analysis of a certain homebuilder.

Savers’ consolation prize

There is one corner of the money market where rates are still levitating.

July 12, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 14

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Mr. Market’s fiscal escape route

Unbalanced operating budgets, seemingly hopeless deficits in pension funding, relentless out-migration, fearsome property taxes, irksome gasoline taxes, the threat of soak-the-rich income taxes – you wonder where it will lead, and when.

Model trains

Few have made money by approaching the ill-managed cyclicals of yesteryear from the vantage point of reversion-to-the-mean – or with the attitude that the shelf life of any management cult is finite. Maybe it’s time.

Art of the exit

You’d be excused for assuming that anybody and her sister-in-law could close a private-equity deal, but exiting is another story. Is the public market ready to receive a zombie mouse?

Scooping the CPI

Monday’s Wall Street Journal birthday supplement marking the 120th anniversary of the first edition of Charles Dow and Edward Jones rather buried the lead.

‘IOER’ made easy

The Federal Reserve cut rates on May 1, not that you would know that from perusing the president’s tweets. Herewith an exploration of an important, if recondite, corner of U.S. monetary policy.

Dots unconnected

A bull market in cognitive dissonance roars on.

June 28, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 13

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Trillions seek stable home

A speculation on the end game of this extraordinary chapter in monetary affairs.

172 years young

The apple of Grant’s eye can ride out a recession or to continue to prosper in the absence of one.

Mega-style drift

It must mean something when low-cost Vanguard eyes the high-fee private-equity business.

Mud Bowl

The wettest summer in modern American record-keeping is good for something.

Bids wanted

Liquidity transformation needs liquidity.

June 14, 2019, Vol. 38, No. 12

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All in favor

In monetary matters, Mike Pence agrees with Donald Trump. And because Larry Summers agrees with Pence, it follows that the former president of Harvard University is on the same page as the sitting commander-in-chief. A hardened consensus of financial opinion ought not to be comforting.

Long-shot nation

A gamble on the long-running inflation-devaluation-corruption-default-recession-statism champion of the Western Hemisphere.

Its own planet

No valuation like it, not on this planet.

Future shop

Opportunities for self-insuring against the unexpected.

Curve ball

What the historical record suggests for an investment strategy in the 12 months following an inversion of the 10-year/3-month yield curve.

May 31, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 11

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Fresh faces for America’s currency

An action plan to advance the cause of monetary diversity in America.

In which we erred

In the issue of Grant’s dated May 3, we had bullish things to say about a trio of baby bonds that yielded more than 6%. We wrote before we truly understood what we were talking about.

New misery index

Presenting the New Grant’s Misery Index. For a financialized America in which the S&P 500 has taken over the national mood.

Small big bet

China’s “special administrative region” isn’t your father’s Hong Kong and confidence is the most important kind of capital.

Headline news

Investors seek risk in muni-land.

Total addressable hope

The levitating share prices of a pair of hot stocks may point to the certain and final automation of the bond market – or to nothing more newsworthy than the familiar fact that EZ money is good for the stock market.

Dots need connecting

When do deficits matter?

May 17, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 10

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Just call it the ‘bizzle’

History may remember these times as a golden age of invention and entrepreneurship, but those flattering descriptors should come with an asterisk. Introducing the bezzle’s first cousin.

For steeper and choppier

A fund for anyone who expects, or dreads, a reversal of the steady states of being in fixed income today.

Free interest rates!

On May 7, the editor of Grant’s addressed the Bradley Foundation Prize event in Washington, D.C. What’s to be done about Jack Daniel’s-grade financial disinhibitors?

Fear factor

A case of soaring revenues failing to deliver where it counts.

Cash wanted

An update on a certain global avatar of growth-at-any cost.

On your honor

Across the Atlantic, a controversial fund and its founder presage trouble for America’s illiquid-securities business.

On strike

The bet on a more dovish Fed is not predicated on a slowdown in inflation but in the S&P 500. What’s the strike price of Chair Powell’s put?

May 3, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 09

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Buried alive in ‘Businessweek’

Things have come to such a sorry pass for the ancient scourge of paper money that Bloomberg BusinessWeek has written its obituary. Inflation dead declaims the April 22 cover story. “Dormant” is the word, we demonstrate.

Update on GE

On the inadvisability of having a taxable address in the City of New York.

Energy super-bulls

“When this is all over, every publicly traded Permian Basin name will be taken over.” Herewith the meaning of the word “this,” along with an assortment of bullish investment ideas related to that suggestive pronoun.

Corporate debt pre-mortem

A must-read anticipatory analysis of what will go wrong in the next, yet unscheduled, financial train wreck.

Risk and reward

Wary of both the income famine and the private-equity boom that prompt the outpouring of middle-market corporate debt, we nonetheless find bullish words for a pair of business development companies and a triplet of BDC baby bonds.

Charge it – off

It’s not just the flat yield curve that worries America’s bank chieftains.

Let’s emulate China

Doubtful advice from the senior, non-voting kibitzer of American monetary policy.

April 19, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 08

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In the words of Paul Krugman

Propounded by the economist Abba Lerner, modern monetary theory is an old thing made new. A close and lucid reasoner was Lerner, but his disciples? Not a model, rather an “attitude.”

Lifting the veil

Half of the moon is dark, but 85% of the leveraged-loan market is shrouded. Shedding a new bright light on the credit profile of that $1.1 trillion accident-waiting-to-happen.

‘It is not a cycle’

“China will elect to float the renminbi,” speculated Russell Napier, leadoff speaker at the Spring 2019 Grant’s Conference, “and a jarring deflationary shock will quickly give way to rip-roaring global inflation.”

The power of ideas

“If you pay a price expecting an incremental reinvestment of 14% and it’s on its way to 7%, it can be an expensive lesson.”

Outside the lines

“I’m looking forward to having my Warhol Campbell’s Soup painting arrive at my doorstep in an Amazon van.”

FOMO headed here

“You will get new highs on all of the averages,” observed Wall Street’s best stock-market technician.

Muse to central bankers

On money and banking and the duty of a central bank to clean up after a boom: Thoughts from the Greatest Victorian prove especially timely.

In the Age of Trump

“I like the market here, but I don’t like the direction we’re going.”

Deflation on the brain

“You don’t need much of an increase in inflation to change the market tone of TIPS, because expectations right now are a deflationary kind of thing.”

A retiring country

“In Mexico, people retire when they are 72 years old, in Brazil at 59, so this is an impossible system.”

Interest-rate overview

Seated with your editor onstage at the Plaza, the financial market historian Richard Sylla came prepared with a multi-millennia view.

‘It just ain’t so’

“You can have no certainty that stocks will beat bonds over multi-decade intervals,” our speaker informed the Grant’s audience, “and I would not assume that you can get 6.6% real in stocks.”

Melting to the upside

Volatility takes a cat nap.

April 5, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 07

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To the gnomes of Zurich

On April 4, the editor of Grant’s addressed the wealth-management forum of the Swiss publication Finanz und Wirtschaft. Opportunities abound from central bank manipulation.

Class of 1929

You have money to invest, but stocks are trading near all-time highs and investment-grade bonds, half of which are rated a single notch away from junk, yield a measly 3.7%. A trio of closed-end funds, trading at deep discounts to NAV, offer the value-minded, bubble-phobic investor a fighting chance.

Standing on a box

A little-known fact about unicorns is that they feed on interest rates. They like low, little rates – the tinier, the better. What do unicorns, the humans of private equity and the bulls of Wall Street all have in common?

Cost of low rates

In the post-2008 bull markets, think of the “everything bubble” as the moon overhead. We see but one side, the assets. It’s the obverse, the liabilities, that cry out for attention.

Snowflakes of leverage

Is a 3% interest rate an economy-killer?

March 22, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 06

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Larry Summers sings the blues

“Secular stagnation” is upon us – watch out, or we’ll become Japan.

What everyone needs

A trio of ideas for the income-famished investor.

Monetary pain points

A speculation on the investment consequences of the central bankers’ big ideas.

Don't look down

All about a business strategically situated at the intersection of ingenuity, credit, price control and bull-market psychology.

Lights out

The not so little statistical white lies of the People’s Republic start to add up.

March 8, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 05

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The ‘Post’ rates New York

“Strong budgetary management” is not what you think of first when you gaze upon City Hall.

Can’t stand 1%

Corporate rivets begin to pop when the real rate of interest approaches even 100 humble basis points.

Not so ‘cheep’

On perhaps the greatest retail stock of the 21st century, we make bold to be bearish.

Eyes unblinkered

If the pulse on which Grant’s has its finger is indeed the pulse of investor sentiment, credulity is a short sale. A speculation on a turn in the Wall Street zeitgeist

Dollars take flight

Russia’s central bank goes to cash.

February 22, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 04

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The great non sequitur

The trouble with investing in the 21st century is that you become blasé about the quirks of the age. Before you know it, you start to think, well, negative-yielding debt isn’t so bad. Someone’s buying it.

All ahead full

You can have low prices and bad news or high prices and good news, but you can’t have low prices and good news. A survey of the opportunities in ocean-going shipping.

Dim the lights

Safety is inherent in no investment. And not in the securities of many a putatively safe and secure American electric utility. A demonstration of how little utilities in general, and one utility in particular, answer the description of port in a storm.

Dueling prices

We continue to identify Masayoshi Son’s corporate creation as one of the top contenders for the unwanted cyclical crown of Least Likely to Succeed.

How to stop a bear market

January was one for the record books with RMB 4.6 trillion ($687 billion) in new credit issued to Chinese borrowers. What ever happened to Xi Jinping’s deleveraging drive?

February 8, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 03

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An open letter to Bill Dudley

What I was writing to tell you is that the Fed is technically insolvent.

Political risk in America

Even if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez winds up losing the 2020 presidential election, one tax-related shock looms unavoidable. A survey of deeply discounted opportunities in a bond market not exactly overflowing with bargains.

Fast food take out

You could almost say – we’ll say it – that the tribulations of the American restaurant industry are a mirror to the 2019 state of the Union. A parable of ultra-low interest rates and put-upon franchisees.

Out with the old

If all goes according to plan, the post-Libor transition will be the money market’s own version of the anticlimactic, year-2000 computer-clock changeover, Y2K.

Growth? Not much

After opening up the taps to businesses in December, bankers are having second thoughts.

January 25, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 02

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A 500-year bull market shows its age

It’s nobody’s idea of breaking news that interest rates have tended to rise and fall in generation-length intervals. More striking is a young scholar’s contention that these decades-long undulations are only the wavelets of a half-millennium decline, a trend that will carry to still lower lows in the next recession.

RIP, John C. Bogle

Jack insisted he has enough money. His fans may doubt he received enough thanks.

Peak superhero

Creative destruction costs money, as the holders of low-yielding debt in heavily encumbered businesses may presently be reminded.

Waldo's the name

A new/old method of regulatory arbitrage.

Hospitalized biotech stocks

Illiquid, unfollowed, undesired and battered, micro-cap biotech stocks tick nearly every contrarian’s boxes.

They ask so little

This may be a problem for newly invigorated bond buyers.

January 11, 2019, Vol. 37, No. 01

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On returning to life as the stock market

The man who could topple the Commander-in-Chief is himself constrained by a greater power.

No waiting required

Netflix, Inc. was the best-performing stock in 2018, with a total return of 39%. It is also the only FAANG to generate negative free cash flow. Herewith a connection between these facts and a collection of stocks that just might excel in 2019.

Lottery Tickets, Inc.

The rolling-up of the red carpet of liquidity makes for winners and losers alike. Within this varied grouping, a trio of investment candidates, of which the reader will confront the daunting vocabulary that redirected many a would-be doctor to

Sacrificial securities

Suspense remains the order of the day for the Old Continent’s banks and their black-and-blue shareholders.

Dancing in the dark

This poses a conundrum for the Federal Reserve: Our money mandarins are “data dependent,” or so they tell us, but on what data can they rely?