Here, at your fingertips, are more than 35 years’ worth of issues and articles. Search by date, company or keyword.
Paul A. Volcker, born in 1927, opened his eyes to the world of the gold dollar, fixed exchange rates and a balanced federal budget. He died in an age of the fiat dollar, floating (or manipulated) exchange rates and a trillion-dollar boomtime deficit. Monetary history, seen in a certain way, makes a long, coherent arc.
In the past half-decade, the estimated value of the “most valuable” retail building in the world has plunged by 57%. If it can happen to the Manhattan Taj Mahal of Saks Fifth Avenue, it can happen to other top-flight retail assets including the investments held by a pair of Grant’s picks-not-to-click.
What we’re seeing is something very unusual taking place in the context of what is supposed to be an expanding global economy,” observed David Rosenberg, leadoff speaker at the Fall 2019 Grant’s conference, “and where do you think bond yields are going to go if the stock market crashes?
In monetary matters, Mike Pence agrees with Donald Trump. And because Larry Summers agrees with Pence, it follows that the former president of Harvard University is on the same page as the sitting commander-in-chief. A hardened consensus of financial opinion ought not to be comforting.
You have money to invest, but stocks are trading near all-time highs and investment-grade bonds, half of which are rated a single notch away from junk, yield a measly 3.7%. A trio of closed-end funds, trading at deep discounts to NAV, offer the value-minded, bubble-phobic investor a fighting chance.
It’s nobody’s idea of breaking news that interest rates have tended to rise and fall in generation-length intervals. More striking is a young scholar’s contention that these decades-long undulations are only the wavelets of a half-millennium decline, a trend that will carry to still lower lows in the next recession.